SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Cordoba win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Cordoba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Lanus |
43.49% ( 0.87) | 28.09% ( -0.25) | 28.42% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 45.51% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.86% ( 0.61) | 60.14% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.65% ( 0.46) | 80.35% ( -0.46) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( 0.76) | 27.46% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.05% ( 0.97) | 62.95% ( -0.97) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( -0.16) | 37.26% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.96% ( -0.16) | 74.04% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.81% Total : 43.48% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 28.42% |
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