SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
49.5% ( -0.23) | 26.73% ( -0.05) | 23.78% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 45.7% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.87% ( 0.38) | 58.13% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.21% ( 0.3) | 78.79% ( -0.29) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.41% ( 0.06) | 23.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.34% ( 0.09) | 57.66% ( -0.08) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.81% ( 0.48) | 40.19% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.18% ( 0.43) | 76.82% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.49% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.33% Total : 23.78% |
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