Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
