Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
