Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
