Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
