SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
49.85% ( 0.78) | 27.07% ( 0.01) | 23.08% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 44.11% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.18% ( -0.62) | 59.82% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.9% ( -0.47) | 80.1% ( 0.48) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.09) | 24.17% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% ( 0.13) | 58.48% ( -0.13) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.17% ( -1.12) | 41.83% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.72% ( -0.99) | 78.28% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.15% Total : 23.08% |
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