SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Godoy Cruz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
56.3% ( 0) | 25.02% ( 0.05) | 18.68% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.86% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.89% ( -0.22) | 57.11% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.02% ( -0.18) | 77.98% ( 0.17) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( -0.09) | 20.27% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% ( -0.14) | 52.62% ( 0.14) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.02% ( -0.19) | 44.98% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.08% ( -0.15) | 80.92% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 14.55% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 56.3% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 18.68% |
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