SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Talleres |
39.18% ( -0.01) | 28.98% ( 0) | 31.85% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.91% ( -0) | 62.09% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.2% ( -0) | 81.8% ( 0) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0) | 30.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.89% ( -0.01) | 67.12% ( 0.01) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( 0) | 35.69% ( -0) |
