SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Union |
| 54.53% | 25.5% | 19.97% |
| Both teams to score 44.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.67% | 57.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% | 78.16% |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% | 21.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.1% | 53.89% |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.37% | 43.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.18% | 79.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% 2-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 4.8% 4-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.13% Total : 54.51% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.63% 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.83% Total : 19.97% |
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