SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldosivi | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
20.33% ( 0.48) | 26.06% ( 0.94) | 53.6% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 43.52% ( -1.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.13% ( -2.75) | 58.87% ( 2.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.63% ( -2.18) | 79.37% ( 2.18) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.87% ( -1.07) | 44.13% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.77% ( -0.89) | 80.23% ( 0.88) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( -1.71) | 22.1% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.54% ( -2.64) | 55.46% ( 2.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldosivi | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.33% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.97)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 14.72% ( 0.76) 0-2 @ 11.11% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.38)0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.8% Total : 53.59% |
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