Experience plays a major role in games of this magnitude and Flamingo boast the more experienced crop of players at this level. We are backing the away side to fend off the threat of their hosts and secure a narrow win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.09) 
