Estudiantes are masterful at slowing a game down and waiting for the right opportunity to pounce, and the further this match stays goalless, the more risks Velez Sarsfield will have to take, leaving Los Pincharratas with more and more opportunities to strike.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
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