With so much on the line in as much of a relegation six-pointer as is possible at this stage, we expect a cagey encounter on Sunday and cannot quite pick a winner.
Both sides will be fearful of the harm a defeat would cause, while both have struggled for victories throughout the season, and we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome as a result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.18) 
