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Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 22, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio Independencia
P

America Mineiro
0 - 1
Palmeiras


Maidana (51'), Matheusinho (56'), Caceres (56'), Patric (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Scarpa (65')
Wesley (17'), Danilo (40'), Manuel Lopez (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: America Mineiro 1-2 Palmeiras

Palmeiras should be fell of renewed confidence after returning to winning ways last time out, and the league leaders should have more than enough to outclass their struggling hosts and leave with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.

Result
America MineiroDrawPalmeiras
21.23% (-0.212 -0.21) 25.16% (-0.166 -0.17) 53.61% (0.381 0.38)
Both teams to score 47.1% (0.19 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.22% (0.393 0.39)54.78% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (0.324 0.32)76.09% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)77.39%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.315 0.31)20.43% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (0.495 0.49)52.88% (-0.492 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 21.23%
    Palmeiras 53.61%
    Draw 25.15%
America MineiroDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-1 @ 5.32% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 21.23%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 13.24% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 10.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.57% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.03 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.21% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 53.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-3 Bragantino
Sunday, July 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-2 America Mineiro
Friday, July 15 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 America Mineiro
Tuesday, July 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-0 Goias
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 3-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 30 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 America Mineiro
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Cuiaba
Tuesday, July 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo (3-4 pen.)
Friday, July 15 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 5-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 3 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-3 Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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