Atletico Mineiro will give it their all, but we expect Palmeiras to record a narrow victory with home advantage on their side. The hosts are in irrepressible form right now and their big game-winning experience is unrivalled having won this competition twice in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
46.28% ( -0.09)	24.83% ( 0.01)	28.9% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.57% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71% (

-0.02)

47.29% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.49% (

-0.02)

69.51% (

0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

-0.05)

20.49% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03% (

-0.07)

52.97% (

0.07)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

0.04)

30.11% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

0.05)

66.25% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 46.28%

Atletico Mineiro 28.9%

Draw 24.82%

Palmeiras	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.28%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 28.9%