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Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
AM

Palmeiras
0 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras win 6-5 on penalties

Gomez (58'), Ferreira (79'), Dudu (88')
Danilo (29'), Scarpa (82')
FT

Zaracho (52'), Arana (73'), Silva (78'), Vargas (85'), Hulk (88')
Vargas (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 3-0 Goias
Sunday, August 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 2-1 Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro will give it their all, but we expect Palmeiras to record a narrow victory with home advantage on their side. The hosts are in irrepressible form right now and their big game-winning experience is unrivalled having won this competition twice in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
PalmeirasDrawAtletico Mineiro
46.28% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09) 24.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 28.9% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)47.29% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)69.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)20.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)52.97% (0.073 0.07)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.043000000000006 0.04)30.11% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (0.052999999999997 0.05)66.25% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 46.28%
    Atletico Mineiro 28.9%
    Draw 24.82%
PalmeirasDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 28.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-0 Goias
Sunday, August 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, August 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Ceara 1-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Internacional
Sunday, July 24 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-1 Palmeiras
Friday, July 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Cuiaba
Tuesday, July 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-3 Athletico PR
Sunday, August 7 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, August 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Corinthians
Sunday, July 24 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, July 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Brasileiro


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