There is little doubt which team heads into this clash in superior form, with Palmeiras seriously on a roll at the moment.
The 2020 and 2021 Copa Libertadores champions will be highly motivated to retain their title once again, even if the hosts represent dangerous opposition on their day, especially with Cuca back at the helm.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.14) 
