Athletico are expected to return to winning ways on their turf, defeating a Bahia side that seldom scores on their travels with a routine win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Bahia
57.93% ( -2.9)	24.21% ( 0.9)	17.86% ( 2)

Both teams to score 44.68% (

1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.73% (

-0.36)

55.27% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.5% (

-0.3)

76.49% (

0.3)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07% (

-1.2)

18.93% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.56% (

-2.04)

50.44% (

2.04)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.11% (

2.37)

44.88% (

-2.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.15% (

1.84)

80.84% (

-1.84)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 57.92%

Bahia 17.86%

Draw 24.2%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 14.14% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.77) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.7) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.41) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.94% Total : 57.92%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.61% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.57% Total : 17.86%