Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.12) 
