Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
-0.21) 
0.01) 
