SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Internacional |
54.79% ( -0.21) | 25.23% ( 0.01) | 19.98% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 45.24% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.66% ( 0.17) | 56.34% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% ( 0.14) | 77.36% ( -0.14) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( -0.02) | 20.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.9% ( -0.02) | 53.1% ( 0.02) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( 0.31) | 43.04% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.68% ( 0.26) | 79.32% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Internacional |
| 1-0 @ 14% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.78% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.98% |
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