SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 11.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.09%) and 3-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
69.83% ( 0.37) | 19.04% ( -0.15) | 11.12% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 43.44% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( 0.07) | 47.79% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( 0.07) | 69.98% ( -0.06) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% ( 0.13) | 12.51% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.49% ( 0.26) | 38.51% ( -0.26) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.65% ( -0.35) | 50.35% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.1% ( -0.24) | 84.9% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 2-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 69.82% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.04% | 0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 11.12% |
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