Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.07) 
