Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
0) 
-0) 
