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Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 20, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
C

Fluminense
3 - 3
Corinthians

Lima (22', 56'), Arias (84')
Marcelo (29'), Melo (33'), Cano (48'), Thiago (64'), Lima (71'), Diniz (90+1')
Thiago (65'), Melo (71')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Alberto (10', 27'), Santos (32' pen.)
Maycon (19'), Pedrinho (36'), Alberto (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fluminense 2-2 Corinthians

An entertaining contest could be in store between two teams who are desperate to turn their fortunes around and build a strong run of form heading into the closing stages of the campaign. Both sides have the potential to cause problems in the final third, but with little to separate them, a score draw could be on the cards in Rio de Janeiro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 13.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.62%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawCorinthians
64.17% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02) 22.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 13.5% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Both teams to score 40.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)76.51% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)16.7% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)46.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.06% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.7%85.3%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 64.16%
    Corinthians 13.5%
    Draw 22.31%
FluminenseDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 15.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.62%
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 64.16%
1-1 @ 10.26%
0-0 @ 8.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 13.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fluminense 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Fluminense
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Fluminense
Saturday, September 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Internacional
Thursday, September 28 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Cruzeiro
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 4-2 Fluminense
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, October 8 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, October 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Corinthians
Saturday, September 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 4-4 Gremio
Tuesday, September 19 at 1am in Brasileiro


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