Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
-1.16) 
0.11) 
