SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | America Mineiro |
49.17% ( -1.16) | 24.73% ( 0.11) | 26.1% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% ( 0.38) | 48.75% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.15% ( 0.34) | 70.85% ( -0.34) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( -0.33) | 19.86% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.04% ( -0.53) | 51.96% ( 0.54) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( 1.08) | 33% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.41% ( 1.18) | 69.58% ( -1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.1% |
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