Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | America Mineiro |
57.39% ( -0.02) | 22.67% ( 0.01) | 19.93% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.64% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% ( -0.02) | 46.43% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% ( -0.02) | 68.71% ( 0.02) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.07% ( -0.02) | 15.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.82% ( -0.03) | 45.18% ( 0.02) |
America Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% ( -0.01) | 37.38% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.83% ( -0) | 74.16% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | America Mineiro |
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.93% |
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