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F
Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 4, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
C

Fortaleza
2 - 0
Corinthians

Pikachu (49'), Tinga (55')
Pochettino (28'), Welison (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Gremio
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians (Fortaleza advances 2-1 on aggregate)

Fortaleza have often found a way to come out on top throughout these home contests, and we believe their fans will give this team that little bit extra needed to will them to victory and give them an edge against a resilient Corinthians side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.83%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
67.27% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 20.64% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 12.09% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.73% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.63% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.012 -0.01)14.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)42.57% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.82% (0.020000000000003 0.02)51.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.54% (0.013 0.01)85.46% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 67.26%
    Corinthians 12.09%
    Draw 20.64%
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 14.34%
2-0 @ 13.83%
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 67.26%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20.64%
0-1 @ 4.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.22% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-2 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 12.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Gremio
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Corinthians
Thursday, September 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 America Mineiro
Thursday, August 31 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Corinthians
Saturday, September 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 4-4 Gremio
Tuesday, September 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Corinthians
Thursday, September 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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