Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.89%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
2.13) 
-0.77) 
