Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
