Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Coritiba
61.76% ( 1.13)	21.82% ( -0.49)	16.41% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 48.8% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.76% (

0.92)

48.23% (

-0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.61% (

0.84)

70.39% (

-0.84)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.91% (

0.68)

15.09% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.37% (

1.27)

43.63% (

-1.28)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.48% (

-0.27)

42.52% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.11% (

-0.23)

78.88% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 61.75%

Coritiba 16.41%

Draw 21.82%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Coritiba
1-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.29% Total : 61.75%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.82%	0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.41%