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Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 15, 2022 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
SP

Flamengo
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

De Arrascaeta (36')
Pereira (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Reinaldo (14'), Welington (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Goias 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, September 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 2-0 Sao Paulo (Flamengo advance 5-1 on aggregate)

Sao Paulo have shown they are a resilient group, particularly in knockout stage matches, but Flamengo seem to have an answer for everything that their opponents may throw at them, and Mengao are a lot stingier defensively compared to Goianiense, so it is hard to foresee Tricolor Paulista pulling off a victory by two or more goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
FlamengoDrawSao Paulo
56.24% (0.0039999999999978 0) 22.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.93% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 53.7% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)45.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.12% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.09% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.51% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)45.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64% (0.0030000000000001 0)36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 56.24%
    Sao Paulo 20.93%
    Draw 22.83%
FlamengoDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 9.67%
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.89%
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.69%
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 56.24%
1-1 @ 10.81%
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.83%
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 3.02%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 20.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Goias 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, September 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, September 8 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Ceara
Sunday, September 4 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-4 Flamengo
Thursday, September 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 28 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Flamengo
Thursday, August 25 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Atletico GO (4-2 pen.)
Friday, September 9 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 3-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, September 2 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, August 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Flamengo
Thursday, August 25 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil


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