Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Flamengo
47.58% ( 2.29)	25.25% ( -0.38)	27.16% ( -1.92)

Both teams to score 52.94% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.84% (

0.43)

50.16% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.88% (

0.38)

72.12% (

-0.38)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9% (

1.2)

21.1% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07% (

1.84)

53.92% (

-1.85)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

-1.24)

32.9% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.52% (

-1.4)

69.47% (

1.39)

Score Analysis

Gremio 47.58%

Flamengo 27.16%

Draw 25.25%

Gremio	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.58%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.5% Total : 27.16%