SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coritiba | Draw | Flamengo |
32.79% ( -0.87) | 26.53% ( -0.29) | 40.68% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.1% ( 0.98) | 52.9% ( -0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( 0.83) | 74.51% ( -0.83) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.08) | 30.26% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.57% ( -0.09) | 66.43% ( 0.09) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 1.07) | 25.59% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.52% ( 1.44) | 60.47% ( -1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coritiba | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.79% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.68% |
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