Braga look like a much deeper attacking team than in past seasons, but that atmosphere at the Maracana always seems to overwhelm them, which is why we are giving Flu the edge.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
1.13) 
-0.52) 
