Braga look like a much deeper attacking team than in past seasons, but that atmosphere at the Maracana always seems to overwhelm them, which is why we are giving Flu the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Bragantino
58.73% ( 1.13)	22.13% ( -0.52)	19.14% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 53.08% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.79% (

1.36)

45.2% (

-1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.45% (

1.29)

67.55% (

-1.28)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

0.84)

15.06% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.43% (

1.57)

43.56% (

-1.56)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.48% (

0.13)

37.51% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.7% (

0.12)

74.29% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 58.72%

Bragantino 19.14%

Draw 22.12%

Fluminense	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.55% Total : 58.72%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.12%	0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 19.14%