Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 65.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
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