Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Vasco da Gama
66.13% ( 0)	19.66% ( -0)	14.2% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.53% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.79%

43.2% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.39%

65.6% (

-0)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.8% (

-0)

12.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.13%

37.86% (

-0)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.55% (

-0)

42.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.18% (

-0)

78.82%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 66.12%

Vasco da Gama 14.2%

Draw 19.66%

Fluminense	Draw	Vasco da Gama
2-0 @ 11.45% 1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.23% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.38% Total : 66.12%	1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.18% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.95% Total : 19.66%	0-1 @ 4.44% 1-2 @ 4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.52% Total : 14.2%