Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 51.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
