Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
