SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Goias had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Goias |
56.49% ( -0.07) | 24.78% ( -0.03) | 18.73% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.59% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.81% ( 0.22) | 56.19% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% ( 0.18) | 77.24% ( -0.17) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( 0.06) | 19.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.07% ( 0.09) | 51.93% ( -0.09) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.62% ( 0.25) | 44.38% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.57% ( 0.2) | 80.43% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Goias |
| 1-0 @ 14.24% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 18.73% |
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