Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.58) 
0.36) 
