Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.08) 
