Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
-0.23) 
0.12) 
