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Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Sep 14, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda
SP

Internacional
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Bustos (59'), Rene (70')
Mercado (18'), Gabriel (30'), Keiller (45+2'), Dias (90+7'), Lucca (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Calleri (45+4' pen.)
Diego (16'), Maia (41'), Rafinha (75'), Calleri (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Goias 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Internacional 0-0 Sao Paulo

Both sides are in poor form in the Brasileiro, with Internacional drawing their last two games 0-0, and Sao Paulo have not scored more than one goal in their last four games. As such, we think Wednesday's game could end up finishing as a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawSao Paulo
45.01% (-0.416 -0.42) 26.66% (0.125 0.13) 28.33% (0.295 0.3)
Both teams to score 49.49% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (-0.325 -0.32)55.05% (0.329 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69% (-0.268 -0.27)76.31% (0.271 0.27)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.34400000000001 -0.34)24.36% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (-0.49 -0.49)58.77% (0.495 0.49)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.058999999999997 0.06)34.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.3% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 45.01%
    Sao Paulo 28.33%
    Draw 26.66%
InternacionalDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.127 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 28.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Goias 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-0 Bolivar
Tuesday, August 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, August 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bolivar 0-1 Internacional
Tuesday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 0-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-1 Internacional
Sunday, August 13 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 LDU Quito (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: LDU Quito 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Botafogo
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, August 16 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 13 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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