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Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 13, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Arena MRV
SP

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 0
Sao Paulo


Alonso (20'), Saravia (64'), Rafinha (77'), Lyanco (77'), Franco (84'), Rubens (90+2')
FT

Gustavo (43'), Rato (54'), Luciano (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Sao Paulo (Atletico Mineiro advance 2-0 on aggregate)

Over the past few weeks, Mineiro have found a level of consistency, and we believe that momentum will carry them beyond this phase of the tournament against a Sao Paulo side struggling to score in recent games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
43.54% (0.485 0.48) 28.16% (0.356 0.36) 28.3% (-0.846 -0.85)
Both teams to score 45.27% (-1.412 -1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.58% (-1.566 -1.57)60.42% (1.562 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.44% (-1.2 -1.2)80.55% (1.196 1.2)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.48 -0.48)27.56% (0.478 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-0.621 -0.62)63.08% (0.618 0.62)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (-1.527 -1.53)37.51% (1.524 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (-1.527 -1.53)74.29% (1.524 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 43.53%
    Sao Paulo 28.29%
    Draw 28.15%
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.59 0.59)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.33% (0.584 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.13% (0.168 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 28.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gremio 2-3 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Fluminense
Sunday, August 25 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, August 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Cuiaba
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, August 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Vitoria
Sunday, August 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Nacional
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 15 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores


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