Although Leipzig are guaranteed to finish third regardless of their result against Schalke, Rose will still want his players to end their league campaign on a high ahead of taking on Frankfurt in the DFB-Pokal final next weekend.
Schalke have done well to stay alive heading into the final day of the season given their disastrous form earlier in the campaign, but we expect an instant return to the second tier to be confirmed with a defeat this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
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