Although Freiburg and Bayern currently boast the best two defensive records this season, they have both looked vulnerable at the back in recent weeks, which will give their respective attacks confidence of finding the net on Saturday. The visitors are understandably the favourites for this fixture, but we feel that a closely-fought contest is set to be played out, and Streich's men may do enough to claim a hard-fought point in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 14.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-3 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
14.52%	17.07%	68.41%

Both teams to score 61.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16%

29.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49%

51%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61%

33.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.98%

70.01%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.02%

7.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.84%

28.16%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 14.52%

Bayern Munich 68.41%

Draw 17.07%

Freiburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.05% 1-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.87% 2-0 @ 1.6% 3-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.58% Total : 14.52%	1-1 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 5.13% 0-0 @ 2.66% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.07%	1-2 @ 9.34% 0-2 @ 8.52% 1-3 @ 7.88% 0-3 @ 7.18% 0-1 @ 6.74% 1-4 @ 4.98% 0-4 @ 4.54% 2-3 @ 4.32% 2-4 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.52% 0-5 @ 2.3% 2-5 @ 1.38% 1-6 @ 1.06% 3-4 @ 1% 0-6 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.98% Total : 68.41%