SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.79%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Werder Bremen |
80.79% ( -1.61) | 11.89% ( 0.99) | 7.32% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.74% ( -2.88) | 25.26% ( 2.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.75% ( -3.85) | 45.25% ( 3.86) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.25% ( -0.76) | 4.75% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.78% ( -2.39) | 19.22% ( 2.4) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( -0.9) | 42.47% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.16% ( -0.79) | 78.84% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.76)3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.47)4-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.33)1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.81)5-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.38)5-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.43)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.21)6-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.34)6-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.34)5-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.23)7-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.21)Other @ 5.05% Total : 80.79% | 1-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 11.89% | 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 7.32% |
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