SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.84%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.46% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
60.84% ( -2.62) | 18.69% ( 0.74) | 20.46% ( 1.88) |
| Both teams to score 68.12% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.23% ( -0.7) | 26.76% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.81% ( -0.9) | 47.18% ( 0.9) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.23% ( -0.75) | 8.76% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.9% ( -1.87) | 30.09% ( 1.87) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 1.19) | 25.33% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.88% ( 1.61) | 60.11% ( -1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.19)1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.35)4-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.24)5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.23)5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.11)4-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 4.69% Total : 60.84% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.69% | 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.22)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.13% Total : 20.46% |
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