Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
24.08% (![]() | 21.69% (![]() | 54.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.98% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.16% (![]() | 36.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.99% (![]() | 59.01% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.78% (![]() | 28.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.08% (![]() | 63.92% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.34% (![]() | 13.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.14% (![]() | 40.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 6.14% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 3.5% Total : 24.08% | 1-1 @ 9.71% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 9.66% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.72% Total : 54.24% |
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