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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
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Borussia M'bach
0 - 1
Bayern


Scally (53'), Ullrich (66'), Weigl (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kane (68' pen.)
Min-jae (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 0-6 Bayern
Monday, January 6 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-3 Bayern Munich

Die Fohlen may prove to be a difficult test for Bayern to overcome due to the hosts' strong record at Borussia Park, but Kompany will be confident that his side can take all three points given their attacking potency. It would not be surprising if the Bavarians initially struggled to break down their opponents' low block before creating significantly more opportunities should they take the lead, as Borussia Monchengladbach would be forced to leave more space behind their defence in search of an equaliser. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.82%) and 1-3 (6.59%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
24.79% (-0.838 -0.84) 20.94% (-0.288 -0.29) 54.26% (1.123 1.12)
Both teams to score 65.63% (0.14200000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.56% (0.577 0.58)32.43% (-0.579 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.93% (0.666 0.67)54.07% (-0.669 -0.67)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-0.283 -0.28)25.27% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-0.388 -0.39)60.03% (0.385 0.38)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (0.518 0.52)12.18% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.18% (1.086 1.09)37.81% (-1.089 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 24.79%
    Bayern Munich 54.26%
    Draw 20.94%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-0 @ 4.23% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.79%
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 2.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.59% (0.14 0.14)
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.79% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 4.53% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.47% (0.141 0.14)
0-4 @ 2.52% (0.122 0.12)
2-4 @ 2.39% (0.079 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.46% (0.087 0.09)
3-4 @ 1.09% (0.027 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.06% (0.072 0.07)
2-5 @ 1% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 54.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-1 Dortmund
Saturday, December 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 St Pauli
Sunday, November 24 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 0-6 Bayern
Monday, January 6 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bayern 5-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-1 Bayern
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-5 Bayern
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal


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